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Doncaster TV Trends and Tips: Sat 13th Sept 2025

Tuesday, September 9, 2025

This Saturday it's the final (and oldest) of the English Classics as the Betfred St Leger takes centrestage.

Doncaster Horse Racing Trends

1.50 – Champagne Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 (2yo) 7f ITV

23/24 - Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
22/24 – Won 1 or 2 times previously
20/24 – Finished third or better last time out
19/24 – Had won over 7f before
18/24 – Favourites placed
18/24 – Won by a Feb or March foal
15/24 – Won last time out
13/24 – Run at Sandown, Newbury, York or t¬¬he Curragh last time out
10/24 – Raced 3 or more times that season
9/24 – Winning favourites
5/24 – Won by the Richard Hannon yard (3 of the last 11)
4/24 – Won by Godolphin
3/24 – Winners from stall 1
2/24 – Won by the Johnston yard
2/24 – Won by the Charlie Appleby yard
2/24 – Won by the Saeed Bin Suroor yard
4 of the last 6 winners came from stalls 3 or lower
No winning favourite in last 5 years

SUREWIN BEST BET: GEWAN
SUREWIN DANGER: OXAGON

2.25 – Betfred Portland Handicap Cl2 5f140y ITV

21/23 – Carried 8-12 or more
20/23 – Had run 5 or more times that season
19/23 – Won over 6f before
18/23 – Came from a double-figure stall
16/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
16/23 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/23 – Run at Doncaster previously
15/23 – Won 4 or more times in their career
14/23 – Winner rated between 95 and 102
12/23 – Unplaced Favourites
11/23 – Placed in their last race
9/23 – Winners aged 5 years-old (inc 9 of last 17 years)
7/23 – Raced in that season’s Great St Wilfrid (Ripon)
6/23 – Winning favourites
4/23 – Raced at Ripon last time out
3/23 – Won by the Kevin Ryan yard
3/23 – Won last time out
2/23 – Ridden by William Buick
2/23 - Trained by Charles Hills
2 of the last 3 winners trained by Jim Goldie
12 of the last 14 winners were aged 5 or younger
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey

SUREWIN BEST BET: JORDAN ELECTRICS
SUREWIN DANGER: ROSARIO

3.00 – Betfred Park Stakes (Group 2) Cl1 7f ITV

19/22 – Won 3 or more times before
19/22 – Run 3 or more times that season
19/22 – Won a Group race previously
19/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter
18/22 – Won over 7f before
17/22 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
15/22 – Aged 4 or older
15/22 – Placed favourites
12/22 – Unplaced in their most recent race
11/22 – Run at either Goodwood (6), Newbury (3) or Newmarket (2) last time out
9/22 – Placed horses from stall 1
9/22 – Had run at Doncaster before
6/22 – Winning favourites
2/22 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy (2 of the last 7)
3/22 – Won by a previous winner of the race
4 Irish-trained winners in the last 16 runnings
5 of the last 7 winners drawn between stalls 2-4
Kinross won the race in 2022 and 2024

SUREWIN BEST BET: ROOM SERVICE
SUREWIN DANGER: MARVELMAN

3.40 – Betfred St Leger Stakes (British Champions Series) (Group 1) (Entire Colts & Fillies) Cl1 1m6f132y ITV

20/23 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
20/23 – Had 2 or 3 previous career wins
20/23 – Had never raced at Doncaster before
19/23 – Placed favourites
19/23 – Returned 8/1 or shorter in the betting
18/23 – Had won a Group race before
18/23 – Had won over at least 1m3f before
15/23 – Had 4 or 5 previous runs that season
15/23 – Had never raced over 1m6f or further before
13/23 – Winning distance of 1 length or more
13/23 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
14/23 – Won last time out
14/23 – Officially rated 109 to 115
10/23 – Winning favourites (2 joint)
9/23 – Ran in the Great Voltigeur last time out (3 won it)
7/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien
4/23 – Trained by John Gosden
4/23 – Won by a Godolphin-owned horse (7 wins in total)
4/23 – Ran in the Gordon Stakes last time out (3 won it)
3/23 – Ridden by William Buick
3/23 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
2/23 – Ridden by Andrea Atzeni
2/23 – Winners from stall 1
Godolphin have won the race 7 times
Aidan O’Brien has trained 8 winners of the race
The average winning SP in the last 23 years is 6/1

 

SUREWIN BEST BET: FURTHER
SUREWIN DANGER: LAMBOURN

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