Another jam-packed day for the ITV cameras this Saturday as they head to Kelso to take in four races, plus they are also at Kempton for three contests on the AW. 

We are on hand with the key trends and top tips for all the LIVE ITV races.

KEMPTON HORSE RACING TRENDS (RacingTV/ITV)

2:05 Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Snowdrop Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 1m ITV

18/19 – Had won between 2-4 times before
17/19 – Came from the top three in the betting
17/19 – Priced 7/1 or shorter in the betting
16/19 – Won by a 4 year-old
16/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
15/19 – Last raced 4 ½ months or more ago
13/19 – Drawn in stall 6 or lower
13/19 – Rated between 90-102
12/19 – Placed favourites
8/19 – Unplaced in their last race
8/19 – Winning favourites
7/19 – Had run at Kempton before
6/19 – Rated 96 or lower
5/19 – Came from outside the top 3 in the betting
3/19 – Won last time out
7 of the last 15 favourites have won
Trainer Marco Botti has won 3 of the last 9
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 of the last 4
Ryan Moore has ridden 2 of the last 7
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 3/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: CHOISYA
SUREWIN DANGER: ADELAISE

2:40 Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Rosebery Handicap (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-105) 1m3f ITV

18/19 – Had won over at least 1m1f before
16/19 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
15/19 – Had won between 2-4 times before
14/19 – Rated between 89 and 99
12/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
12/19 – Carried 8-13 or more in weight
11/19 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
11/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or less
11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
10/19 – Unplaced favourites
8/19 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/19 – Won last time out
4/19 – Ran at Lingfield last time out
2/19 – Trained by the Johnston yard (Mark/Charlie)
3/19 – Winning favourites
3 of the last 10 winners ridden by a claiming jockey
The average winning SP in the last 10 runnings is 15/2

SUREWIN BEST BET: OLD HARROVIAN
SUREWIN DANGER: INTINSO

3:15 Virgin Bet Queen's Prize Handicap (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-100) 2m ITV

12/12 - Won no more than 5 times
11/12 - Aged between 4-6 years-old
10/12 - Had won over 1m6f or further
9/12 - Didn’t win last time out
9/12 - Had run at Kempton before
9/12 - Returned 12/1 or shorter in the betting
7/12 - Only won between 1-3 times before
7/12 - Rated between 82-89
7/12  - Had won at Kempton in the past
6/12 - Favourites that finished 2^nd
2/12 - Trained by Roger Charlton
2/12 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
2/12 – Ridden by Kieran Shoemark
1/12 - Winning favourites

SUREWIN BEST BET: AQWAAM
SUREWIN DANGER: SWEET FANTASY

KELSO HORSE RACING TRENDS (RTV/ITV)

1:50 – Schloss Roxburghe Hotel Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 3m2f ITV

9/9 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
8/9 – Aged between 7-10 years-old
8/9 – Won between 2-5 times over hurdles
8/9 – Favourites placed in top 3
7/9  - Irish (5) or French (2) bred
7/9 – Returned 5/1 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Carried 11-1 or more in weight
6/9 – Placed in the top 3 last time out
5/9 - Had run at Kelso before
5/9 – Ridden by a conditional (claiming) jockey
3/9 – Ran at Haydock last time out
3/9 – Winning favourites
2/9 – Trained by Lucinda Russell
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 6/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: AODHAN MAY
SUREWIN DANGER: MAJOR FANTASY

2:25 – Belhaven Brewery Go North Cab On Target Handicap Hurdle (Series Final) (GBB Race) (Cl2) (4yo+) 2m5f ITV

Just 2 past runnings
Trainers Sue Smith & Susan Corbett have won the race before
Both winners ridden by a conditional jockey
Both winners carried 10-13 or less in weight
No winning favourite
Les’s Legacy won the race in 2023
Trainer Donald McCain has a 19% record their hurdlers at the track
Trainer Sandy Thomson has a 18% record their hurdlers at the track
Trainer  Philip Kirby is just 1 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track
Jockey Henry Brooke is just 3-from-60 with riding over hurdles at the track
Jockey Sam Coltherd is just 2-from-62 with riding over hurdles at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: NORTH PARADE
SUREWIN DANGER: DANCE THIEF

3:00– Paxtons For Kverneland Machinery & Genuine Spares Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (5yo+) 3m2f ITV

7/8 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
7/8 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
7/8 – Ran in the last 5 weeks
7/8 – Won between 0-3 times over fences before
7/8 – Unplaced last time out
6/8 – Had won over at least 3m before
6/8 – Carried 10-12 or more in weight
5/8 – Unplaced favourites
4/8 – Had run at Kelso before
1/8 – Winning favourites
2 of the last 3 winners were ridden by a conditional jockey
Elvis Mail won the race 12 months ago
The average winning SP in the last 8 runnings is 6/1

SUREWIN BEST BET: DOES HE KNOW
SUREWIN DANGER: ELVIS MAIL

3:35 – Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+) 2m ITV

2 previous running
Trainer Fergal O’Brien won the race in 2023
Trainer Nicky Henderson won the race in 2022
Both winners favourites
Trainer Fergal O’Brien has a 42% record with his hurdlers at the track
Trainer Ruth Jefferson has a 19% record with her hurdlers at the track
Trainer Philip Kirby is just 1 from 29 with his hurdlers at the track

SUREWIN BEST BET: LILY DU BERLAIS
SUREWIN DANGER: POLITACUS