Into DAY FIVE at  ROYAL ASCOT we've SEVEN more mouth-watering races to look forward to that include the Wokingham Stakes and Hardwicke Stakes, but all eyes will be on some of the best sprinters in the world as they line-up for the Group One Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes at 3.40.

Like all big race days here at SUREWIN we've got it all covered with key trends and stats, plus our free tips (to be added once final runners are out) - use these trends to narrow down the field and find the best past profiles of recent winners.

Enjoy!

2025 Royal Ascot Horse Racing Trends: Saturday 21st June 2025

2.30 - Chesham Stakes (Listed Race) (CLASS 1) (2yo) 7f ITV

Chesham Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Bedtime Story (11/8 fav)
2023 – Snellen (12/1)
2022 – Holloway Boy (40/1)
2021 – Point Lonsdale (10/11 fav)
2020 – Battleground (11/4 fav)
2019 – Pinatubo (3/1)
2018 – Arthur Kitt (13/2)
2017 – September (11/8 fav)
2016 – Churchill (8/11 fav)
2015 – Suits You (14/1)
2014 – Richard Pankhurst (10/1)
2013 – Berkshire (16/1)
2012 – Tha’ir (9/2)
2011 – Maybe (5/2 fav)
2010 – Zaidan (7/1)
2009 – Big Audio (22/1)
2008 – Free Agent (7/2 jfav)
2007 – Maze (11/2)
2006 – Champlain (7/2)
2005 – Championship Point (4/1)
2004 – Whazzat (7/1)
2003 – Pearl Of Love (11/10 fav)

Chesham Stakes Key Trends

21/22 – Had no more than 2 previous career runs
19/22 – Finished in the top 3 last time out
18/22 – Had just 1 previous career run
18/22 – Were foaled in March or earlier
16/22 – Ran over 6f last time out (10 won)
15/22 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
15/22 – Won their previous race
8/22 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
7/22 – Irish trained-winners (Aidan O’Brien, 5 of the last 9 winners)
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard
2/22 – Trained by Richard Hannon
Ryan Moore has ridden the winners in 2011, 2016, 2017, 2020, 2021 & 2024
16 of the last 19 winners came between stalls 1-8
7 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 1 (3) or 7 (4)
14 of the last 19 winners returned 10/1 or shorter
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 4 times before

SUREWIN Best Bet: TREANMOR 
SUREWIN Danger: HUMIDITY

3.05 - Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 1m4f ITV

Hardwicke Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Isle Of Jura (16/1)
2023 – Pyledriver (7/2)
2022 – Broome (6/1)
2021 – Wonderful Tonight (5/1)
2020 – Fanny Logan (17/2)
2019 – Defoe (11/4 fav)
2018 – Crystal Ocean (4/7 fav)
2017 – Idaho (9/2)
2016 – Dartmouth (10/1)
2015 – Snow Sky (12/1)
2014 – Telescope (7/4 fav)
2013 – Thomas Chippendale (8/1)
2012 – Sea Moon (3/1 fav)
2011 – Await the Dawn (4/6 fav)
2010 – Harbinger (8/11 fav)
2009 – Bronze Cannon (8/1)
2008 – Macarthur (11/8 fav)
2007 – Maraahel (10/3)
2006 – Maraahel (9/2)
2005 – Bandari (10/1)
2004 – Doyen (6/5 fav)
2003 – Indian Creek (14/1)

Hardwicke Stakes Key Trends

22/22 – Had won over at least 1m2f before
21/22 – Had won a Group 2 or 3 previously
19/22 – Placed last time out
19/22 – Had won over 1m4f before
15/22 – Had run at Ascot before
14/22 – Returned 6/1 or shorter in the betting
14/22 – Had at least 2 previous runs that season
14/22 – Aged 4 years-old (inc 12 of last 14 winners)
12/22 – Placed favourites
11/22 – Won their previous race
7/22 – Ran at Epsom last time out (Coronation Cup)
7/22 – Winning favourites
6/22 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4) or Johnston yard (2)
6/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore
15 of the last 19 winners returned 8/1 or shorter
13 of the last 19 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
No winner from stall 1 in the last 19 runnings
9 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 2-5 (inc)

SUREWIN Best Bet: KALPANA
SUREWIN Danger: REBEL'S ROMANCE 

3.40 – QEII Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f ITV

QEII Jubilee Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Khaadem (14/1)
2023 – Khaadem (80/1)
2022 – Naval Crown (33/1)
2021 – Dream Of Dreams (3/1 fav)
2020 – Hello Youmzain (4/1)
2019 – Blue Point (6/4 fav)
2018 – Merchant Navy (4/1)
2017 – The Tin Man (9/2)
2016 – Twilight Son (7/2)
2015 – Undrafted (14/1)
2014 – Slade Power (7/2 fav)
2013 – Lethal Force (11/1)
2012 – Black Caviar (1/6 fav)
2011 – Society Rock (25/1)
2010 – Starspanglebanner (13/2 jfav)
2009 – Art Connoisseur (20/1)
2008 – Kingsgate Native (33/1)
2007 – Soldier’s Tale (9/1)
2006 – Les Arcs (33/1)
2005 – Cape Of Good Hope (8/1)
2004 - Fayr Jag (12/1)
2003 – Choisir (13/2)

QEII Jubilee Stakes Key Trends

20/22 – Previous distance (6f) winners
19/22 – Previous Group Race winners
16/22 – Aged 5 or younger
17/22 – Had run at Ascot before
16/22 – Failed to win their last race
15/22 – Won by a UK-based yard
11/22 – Returned a double-figure price
10/22 – Unplaced favourites
6/22 – Ran in the King Charles III earlier at the meeting
5/22 – Winning favourite (joint)
2/22 – Trained by James Fanshawe
9 of the last 20 winners were Irish-bred
10 of the last 20 winners came from a low-figure draw
No winner from stall 1 in the last 20 runnings
9 of the last 20 winners returned a double-figure price
The last 2 winners trained by Charles Hills
2 of the last 6 winners trained by Charlie Appleby
Ryan Moore has ridden 3 of the last 9
James Doyle has ridden 2 of the last 6

SUREWIN Best Bet: KIND OF BLUE 
SUREWIN Danger: STORM BOY 

4.20 - Jersey Stakes (Group 3) (CLASS 1) (3yo) 7f ITV

Recent Jersey Stakes Winners

2024 – Haatem (7/2)
2023 – Age Of Kings (22/1)
2022 – Noble Truth (4/1 fav)
2021 – Creative Force (5/1 jfav)
2020 – Molatham (11/2)
2019 – Space Traveller (25/1)
2018 – Expert Eye (8/1)
2017 – Le Brivido (2/1 fav)
2016 – Ribchester (7/1)
2015 – Dutch Connection (14/1)
2014 – Mustajeeb (9/2 jfav)
2013 – Gale Force Ten (9/2 fav)
2012 – Ishvana (20/1)
2011 – Strong Suit (11/1)
2010 – Rainfall (8/1)
2009 – Ouqba (12/1)
2008 – Aqlaam (13/2)
2007 – Tariq (15/2)
2006 – Jeremy (9/2)
2005 – Proclamation (7/1)
2004 – Kheleyf (6/1)
2003 – Membership (20/1)
2002 -  Just James (20/1)

Jersey Stakes Trends

21/23 – Had at least 1 run already that season
19/23 – Had 4 or more career runs
14/23 – Had won over 7f before
14/23 – Had won a Listed or better class race before
12/23 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
11/23 – Had run at Ascot before
10/23 – Ran at Newmarket last time out
9/23 – Horses from stall 8 placed
9/23 – Unplaced favourites
8/23 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
6/23 – Won their previous race
5/23 – Winning favourites
3/23 – Trained by Aidan O’Brien (4 wins in total and 3 in the last 13)
2/23 – Trainer by Charlie Appleby (2 of the last 4 runnings)
The Irish have won 4 of the last 13 runnings
The horse from stall 11 has finished 2nd in 5 of the last 17 runnings

SUREWIN Best Bet: REMMOOZ
SUREWIN Danger: MARVELMAN 

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-110) 6f ITV

Wokingham Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Unequal Love (12/1)
2023 – Saint Lawrence (22/1)
2022 – Rohaan (18/1)
2021 – Rohaan (8/1)
2020 – Hey Jonesy (18/1)
2019 – Cape Byron (7/2 fav)
2018 – Bacchus (33/1)
2017 – Out Do (25/1)
2016 – Outback Traveller (10/1)
2015 – Interception (10/1)
2014 – Baccarat (9/1)
2013 – York Glory (14/1)
2012 – Dandy Boy (33/1)
2011 – Deacon Blues (15/2)
2010 – Laddies Poker Two (9/2 fav)
2009 – High Standing (8/1)
2008 – Big Timer I (20/1)
2007 – Dark Missile (22/1)
2006 – Baltic King (10/1)
2005 – Iffraaj (9/4 fav)
2004 – Lafi (6/1 fav)
2003 – Ratio (14/1) / Fayr Jag (10/1)  (dead-heat)

Wokingham Stakes Key Trends

25/25 – Had won before over 6f or 7f
23/25 – Had no more than 4 runs that season¬¬
23/25 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
22/25 – Had won a race over 6f before
21/25 – Finished sixth or better last time out
21/25 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
16/25 – Had at least 2 runs already that season
16/25 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
15/25 – Had run at Ascot before (8 had won here)
12/25 – Ran at either Ascot, Goodwood or Newmarket last time
7/25 – Won their previous race
5/25 – Won by the favourite
12 of the last 19 winners carried 9-3 or less in weight
11 of the last 19 winners returned 14/1 or shorter
14 of the last 19 winners came from a double-figure draw
13 of the last 15 winners came from a double-figure stall
10 of the last 14 runnings - the top 2 finishers both came from double-figure stalls
Horse from stall 15 has been placed in 4 of the last 13 runnings
Since 1980 there have been only 9 winning favourites
Since 1980 there have been 35 winners returning a double-figure price
Trainer Paul Cole has won the race 3 times

SUREWIN Best Bet: MORE THUNDER 
SUREWIN Danger: JARRAAF

5.40 - Golden Gates Handicap (3yo) 1m2f ITV4

Just the 5 previous runnings
Hand Of God (9/4 fav) won this race in 2024
Burdett Road (20/1) won this race in 2023
Missed the Cut (5/2 fav) won this race in 2022
Foxes Tales (13/2) won this race in 2021
Highland Chief (20/1) won this race in 2020
Trainer Harry Charlton won this race in 2024
Trainer George Boughey won this race in 2022
Trainer Andrew Balding won this race in 2021
Trainer Paul and Oliver Cole won this race in 2020
All 5 winners came between stalls 13-17 (inc)

SUREWIN Best Bet: ARCHIVIST
SUREWIN Danger: SERAPH GABRIEL 

6.15 - Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions Race) (CLASS 2) (4yo+) 2m5f159y ITV4

Queen Alexandra Stakes Recent Winners

2024 – Uxmal (2/1 fav)
2023 – Dawn Rising (2/1 fav)
2022 – Stratum (10/1)
2021 – Stratum (4/1)
2020 – Who Dares Wins (Evs fav)
2019 – Cleonte (7/2)
2018 – Pallasator (11/2)
2017 – Oriental Fox (10/1)
2016 – Commissioned (12/1)
2015 – Oriental Fox (4/1)
2014 – Pique Sous (11/4)
2013 – Chiberta King (8/1)
2012 – Simenon (11/4 fav)
2011 – Swingkeel (11/2)
2010 – Bergo (10/1)
2009 – Caracciola (6/1)
2008 – Honolulu (7/4 fav)
2007 – Enjoy The Moment (6/1)
2006 – Baddam (11/2)
2005 – Cruzspiel (10/1)
2004 – Corrib Eclipse (25/1)
2003 – Cover Up (4/5 fav)

Queen Alexandra Stakes Key Trends

18/22 – Finished unplaced last time out
14/22 – Had won over at least 2m on the flat before
13/22 – Had run at Ascot before
12/22 – Aged 4, 5 or 6 years old
9/22 – Won by a NH yard
9/22 – Irish-trained winners
6/22 – Winning favourites
5/22 – Ridden by Ryan Moore (5 of last 15)
4/22 – Trained by Willie Mullins (4 of last 13)
2/22 – Trained by the Johnston yard (2 of last 10)
2/22 – Trained by Andrew Balding (2 of last 12)
2/22 – Trained by Gordon Elliott (2 of last 9)
2/22 – Trained by Joseph O’Brien (last 2)
14 of the last 19 winners returned 6/1 or shorter
13 of the last 19 winners came from stalls 9-16 (inc)
12 of the last 18 winners came from a double-figure stall

SUREWIN Best Bet: SOBER
SUREWIN Danger: WILD WAVES